Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#202
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#176
Pace71.4#108
Improvement-3.6#313

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#238
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#249
Layup/Dunks+1.4#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#327
Freethrows+2.3#37
Improvement-1.2#242

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#181
First Shot+0.1#172
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#247
Layups/Dunks-2.4#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#54
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#92
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement-2.4#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 21.0 - 4.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 36.0 - 10.07.0 - 15.0
Quad 46.0 - 1.013.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 134   @ Ball St. L 69-86 23%     0 - 1 -11.8 +3.6 -15.9
  Nov 09, 2018 218   @ Green Bay W 78-74 42%     1 - 1 +3.6 -4.5 +7.6
  Nov 24, 2018 117   Western Kentucky W 63-54 36%     2 - 1 +10.1 -1.5 +12.4
  Nov 28, 2018 342   @ San Jose St. W 86-57 82%     3 - 1 +16.9 +5.6 +10.5
  Dec 01, 2018 132   Wright St. W 69-63 41%     4 - 1 +5.8 +4.2 +2.2
  Dec 05, 2018 161   North Texas L 69-80 51%     4 - 2 -13.9 -4.2 -9.3
  Dec 16, 2018 47   @ TCU L 70-90 8%     4 - 3 -6.8 -0.7 -4.6
  Dec 22, 2018 65   Colorado W 72-67 17%     5 - 3 +12.7 +2.8 +9.7
  Dec 23, 2018 156   UNLV W 84-79 38%     6 - 3 +5.5 +4.7 +0.5
  Dec 25, 2018 47   TCU L 69-83 12%     6 - 4 -3.5 -0.5 -2.6
  Jan 02, 2019 125   @ Loyola Chicago L 44-79 21%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -29.1 -20.0 -12.9
  Jan 05, 2019 158   Bradley W 65-60 50%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +2.6 -11.2 +13.4
  Jan 08, 2019 172   Missouri St. L 57-72 53%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -18.5 -18.2 +0.1
  Jan 12, 2019 223   @ Evansville W 72-66 OT 43%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +5.3 -9.4 +13.9
  Jan 16, 2019 164   @ Northern Iowa L 64-69 31%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -2.5 -2.9 +0.1
  Jan 19, 2019 125   Loyola Chicago L 67-75 39%     8 - 8 2 - 4 -7.6 +3.0 -11.5
  Jan 23, 2019 200   Valparaiso W 70-53 60%     9 - 8 3 - 4 +11.7 +10.3 +4.6
  Jan 27, 2019 186   @ Illinois St. L 62-76 35%     9 - 9 3 - 5 -12.7 -2.0 -12.3
  Jan 30, 2019 143   @ Southern Illinois L 73-88 25%     9 - 10 3 - 6 -10.6 +0.1 -10.1
  Feb 02, 2019 123   Drake L 62-68 38%     9 - 11 3 - 7 -5.4 -12.0 +6.7
  Feb 06, 2019 223   Evansville W 85-62 64%     10 - 11 4 - 7 +16.7 +5.9 +9.6
  Feb 09, 2019 158   @ Bradley L 67-96 29%     10 - 12 4 - 8 -25.9 -6.6 -17.2
  Feb 13, 2019 200   @ Valparaiso W 87-82 OT 39%     11 - 12 5 - 8 +5.3 +10.1 -5.3
  Feb 16, 2019 143   Southern Illinois L 57-79 44%     11 - 13 5 - 9 -23.1 -14.7 -8.9
  Feb 20, 2019 186   Illinois St. W 73-50 57%     12 - 13 6 - 9 +18.7 +11.5 +11.2
  Feb 23, 2019 172   @ Missouri St. L 61-67 33%     12 - 14 6 - 10 -3.9 -4.1 -0.4
  Feb 27, 2019 123   @ Drake L 68-80 20%     12 - 15 6 - 11 -5.9 -2.7 -3.1
  Mar 02, 2019 164   Northern Iowa W 71-54 52%     13 - 15 7 - 11 +13.9 +2.4 +12.5
  Mar 07, 2019 200   Valparaiso L 55-77 50%     13 - 16 -24.5 -15.3 -9.6
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%